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The role of climate during the COVID-19 epidemic in New South Wales, Australia | |
Ward, Michael P.1; Xiao, Shuang2; Zhang, Zhijie2 | |
2020-05 | |
发表期刊 | TRANSBOUNDARY AND EMERGING DISEASES |
ISSN | 1865-1674 |
EISSN | 1865-1682 |
摘要 | Previous research has identified a relationship between climate and occurrence of SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV cases, information that can be used to reduce the risk of infection. Using COVID-19 notification and postcode data from New South Wales, Australia during the exponential phase of the epidemic in 2020, we used time series analysis to investigate the relationship between 749 cases of locally acquired COVID-19 and daily rainfall, 9 a.m. and 3 p.m. temperature, and 9 a.m. and 3 p.m. relative humidity. Lower 9 a.m. relative humidity (but not rainfall or temperature) was associated with increased case occurrence; a reduction in relative humidity of 1% was predicted to be associated with an increase of COVID-19 cases by 6.11%. During periods of low relative humidity, the public health system should anticipate an increased number of COVID-19 cases. |
关键词 | Australia COVID-19 humidity meteorological factors rainfall temperature time series analysis |
DOI | 10.1111/tbed.13631 |
WOS关键词 | TEMPERATURE ; CORONAVIRUS ; SURVIVAL ; OUTBREAK ; WEATHER |
WOS研究方向 | Infectious Diseases ; Veterinary Sciences |
WOS类目 | Infectious Diseases ; Veterinary Sciences |
出版者 | WILEY |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
专题 | 新冠肺炎 循证社会科学证据集成 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Sydney; 2.Fudan Univ |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ward, Michael P.,Xiao, Shuang,Zhang, Zhijie. The role of climate during the COVID-19 epidemic in New South Wales, Australia[J]. TRANSBOUNDARY AND EMERGING DISEASES,2020. |
APA | Ward, Michael P.,Xiao, Shuang,&Zhang, Zhijie.(2020).The role of climate during the COVID-19 epidemic in New South Wales, Australia.TRANSBOUNDARY AND EMERGING DISEASES. |
MLA | Ward, Michael P.,et al."The role of climate during the COVID-19 epidemic in New South Wales, Australia".TRANSBOUNDARY AND EMERGING DISEASES (2020). |
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