Association between meteorological indicators and COVID-19 pandemic in Pakistan
Raza, Ali1; Khan, Muhammad Tariq Iqbal2; Ali, Qamar1; Hussain, Tanveer1; Narjis, Saadia3
2020-10
发表期刊ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
ISSN0944-1344
EISSN1614-7499
摘要This study was designed to investigate the impact of meteorological indicators (temperature, rainfall, and humidity) on total COVID-19 cases in Pakistan, its provinces, and administrative units from March 10, 2020, to August 25, 2020. The correlation analysis showed that COVID-19 cases and temperature showed a positive correlation. It implies that the increase in COVID-19 cases was reported due to an increase in the temperature in Pakistan, its provinces, and administrative units. The generalized Poisson regression showed that the rise in the expected log count of COVID-19 cases was 0.024 times for a 1 degrees C rise in the average temperature in Pakistan. Second, the correlation between rainfall and COVID-19 cases was negative in Pakistan. However, the regression coefficient between the expected log count of COVID-19 cases and rainfall was insignificant in Pakistan. Third, the correlation between humidity and the total COVID-19 cases was negative, which implies that the increase in humidity is beneficial to stop the transmission of COVID-19 in Pakistan, its provinces, and administrative units. The reduction in the expected log count of COVID-19 cases was 0.008 times for a 1% increase in the humidity per day in Pakistan. However, humidity and COVID-19 cases were positively correlated in Sindh province. It is required to create awareness among the general population, and the government should include the causes, symptoms, and precautions in the educational syllabus. Moreover, people should adopt the habit of hand wash, social distancing, personal hygiene, mask-wearing, and the use of hand sanitizers to control the COVID-19.
关键词Dose-response Generalized additive model Humidity Temperature Rainfall Generalized Poisson regression
DOI10.1007/s11356-020-11203-2
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TIME-SERIES ; RAINFALL ; HUMIDITY ; WEATHER
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
出版者SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
专题新冠肺炎
循证社会科学证据集成
作者单位1.Virtual Univ Pakistan;
2.Govt Postgrad Coll;
3.Govt Coll Univ
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Raza, Ali,Khan, Muhammad Tariq Iqbal,Ali, Qamar,et al. Association between meteorological indicators and COVID-19 pandemic in Pakistan[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH,2020.
APA Raza, Ali,Khan, Muhammad Tariq Iqbal,Ali, Qamar,Hussain, Tanveer,&Narjis, Saadia.(2020).Association between meteorological indicators and COVID-19 pandemic in Pakistan.ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH.
MLA Raza, Ali,et al."Association between meteorological indicators and COVID-19 pandemic in Pakistan".ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH (2020).
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