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| Climatic factors influence the spread of COVID-19 in Russia | |
| Pramanik, Malay1,2; Udmale, Parmeshwar1; Szabo, Sylvia1; Bisht, Praffulit2; Chowdhury, Koushik3; Pal, Indrajit1 | |
| 2020-07 | |
| 发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH
 |
| ISSN | 0960-3123 |
| EISSN | 1369-1619 |
| 摘要 | The study is the first attempt to assess the role of climatic predictors in the rise of COVID-19 intensity in the Russian climatic region. The study used the Random Forest algorithm to understand the underlying associations and monthly scenarios. The results show that temperature seasonality (29.2 +/- 0.9%) has the highest contribution for COVID-19 transmission in the humid continental region. In comparison, the diurnal temperature range (26.8 +/- 0.4%) and temperature seasonality (14.6 +/- 0.8%) had the highest impacts in the sub-arctic region. Our results also show that September and October have favorable climatic conditions for the COVID-19 spread in the sub-arctic and humid continental regions, respectively. From June to August, the high favorable zone for the spread of the disease will shift towards the sub-arctic region from the humid continental region. The study suggests that the government should implement strict measures for these months to prevent the second wave of COVID-19 outbreak in Russia. |
| 关键词 | COVID-19 community transmission random forest model Russia transmission wave |
| DOI | 10.1080/09603123.2020.1793921 |
| WOS关键词 | DIURNAL TEMPERATURE-RANGE ; RESPIRATORY-DISEASES ; RANDOM FOREST ; MORTALITY ; CORONAVIRUSES ; CHINA |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health |
| 出版者 | TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 专题 | 新冠肺炎 循证社会科学证据集成 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Asian Inst Technol AIT; 2.Jawaharlal Nehru Univ; 3.Indian Inst Technol Kharagpur |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pramanik, Malay,Udmale, Parmeshwar,Szabo, Sylvia,et al. Climatic factors influence the spread of COVID-19 in Russia[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH,2020. |
| APA | Pramanik, Malay,Udmale, Parmeshwar,Szabo, Sylvia,Bisht, Praffulit,Chowdhury, Koushik,&Pal, Indrajit.(2020).Climatic factors influence the spread of COVID-19 in Russia.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH. |
| MLA | Pramanik, Malay,et al."Climatic factors influence the spread of COVID-19 in Russia".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH (2020). |
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| Pramanik-Climatic fa（9687KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 下载 | |
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