Association between the spread of COVID-19 and weather-climatic parameters

doi:10.26355/eurrev_202008_22512

	Association between the spread of COVID-19 and weather-climatic parameters
	Carta, M. G.1; Scano, A.1; Fais, S.1; Orru, G.1,5; Lindert, J.2; Bonanno, S.3; Rinaldi, L.4
	2020-08
发表期刊	EUROPEAN REVIEW FOR MEDICAL AND PHARMACOLOGICAL SCIENCES
ISSN	1128-3602
摘要	OBJECTIVE: To explore whether the climate has played a role in the COVID-19 outbreak, we compared virus lethality in countries closer to the Equator with others. Lethality in European territories and in territories of some nations with a non-temperate climate was also compared. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Lethality was calculated as the rate of deaths in a determinate moment from the outbreak of the pandemic out of the total of identified positives for COVID-19 in a given area/nation, based on the COVIDJohn Hopkins University website. Lethality of countries located within the 5th parallels North/South on 6 April and 6 May 2020, was compared with that of all the other countries. Lethality in the European areas of The Netherlands, France and the United Kingdom was also compared to the territories of the same nations in areas with a non-temperate climate. RESULTS: A lower lethality rate of COVID-19 was found in Equatorial countries both on April 6 (OR=0.72 Cl 95% 0.66-0.80) and on May 6 (OR=0.48, CI 95% 0.47-0.51), with a strengthening over time of the protective effect. A trend of higher risk in European vs. non-temperate areas was found on April 6, but a clear difference was evident one month later: France (OR=0.13, Cl 95% 0.10-0.18), The Netherlands (OR=0.5, Cl 95% 0.3-0.9) and the UK (OR=0.2, Cl 95% 0.01-0.51). This result does not seem to be totally related to the differences in age distribution of different sites. CONCLUSIONS: The study does not seem to exclude that the lethality of COVID-19 may be climate sensitive. Future studies will have to confirm these clues, due to potential confounding factors, such as pollution, population age, and exposure to malaria.
关键词	SARS-CoV-2 COVID-19 Warmer weather Corona virus Infection Transmission
DOI	10.26355/eurrev_202008_22512
WOS研究方向	Pharmacology & Pharmacy
WOS类目	Pharmacology & Pharmacy
出版者	VERDUCI PUBLISHER
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
专题	新冠肺炎循证社会科学证据集成
作者单位	1.Univ Cagliari; 2.Hsch Emden; 3.Garibaldi Hosp; 4.Univ Campania Luigi Vanvitelli; 5.Natl Res Council Italy
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Carta, M. G.,Scano, A.,Fais, S.,et al. Association between the spread of COVID-19 and weather-climatic parameters[J]. EUROPEAN REVIEW FOR MEDICAL AND PHARMACOLOGICAL SCIENCES,2020.
APA	Carta, M. G..,Scano, A..,Fais, S..,Orru, G..,Lindert, J..,...&Rinaldi, L..(2020).Association between the spread of COVID-19 and weather-climatic parameters.EUROPEAN REVIEW FOR MEDICAL AND PHARMACOLOGICAL SCIENCES.
MLA	Carta, M. G.,et al."Association between the spread of COVID-19 and weather-climatic parameters".EUROPEAN REVIEW FOR MEDICAL AND PHARMACOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2020).

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