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| Short-term effects of specific humidity and temperature on COVID-19 morbidity in select US cities | |
| Runkle, Jennifer D.1; Leeper, Ronald D.1; Rao, Yuhan1; Matthews, Jessica L.1; Rennie, Jared J.1; Sugg, Margaret M.2 | |
| 2020-06 | |
| 发表期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
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| ISSN | 0048-9697 |
| EISSN | 1879-1026 |
| 摘要 | Little is known about the environmental conditions that drive the spatiotemporal patterns of SARS-CoV-2. Preliminary research suggests an association with meteorological parameters. However, the relationship with temperature and humidity is not yet apparent for COVID-19 cases in US cities first impacted. The objective of this study is to evaluate the association between COVID-19 cases and meteorological parameters in select US cities. A case-crossover design with a distributed lag nonlinear model was used to evaluate the contribution of ambient temperature and specific humidity on COVID-19 cases in select US cities. The case-crossover examines each COVID case as its own control at different time periods (before and after transmission occurred). We modeled the effect of temperature and humidity on COVID-19 transmission using a lag period of 7 days. A subset of 8 cities were evaluated for the relationship with meteorological parameters and 5 cities were evaluated in detail. Shortterm exposure to humidity was positively associated with COVID-19 transmission in 4 cities. The associations were small with 3 out of 4 cities exhibiting higher COVID19 transmission with specific humidity that ranged from 6 to 9 g/kg. Our results suggest that weather should be considered in infectious disease modeling efforts. Future work is needed over a longer time period and across different locations to clearly establish the weather-COVID19 relationship. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
| 关键词 | COVID-19 morbidity Distributed lag non-linear model Time-stratified case-crossover Weather Seasonality |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140093 |
| WOS关键词 | RESPIRATORY VIRUSES ; CASE-CROSSOVER ; UNITED-STATES ; INFLUENZA ; SEASONALITY ; CORONAVIRUS ; MODELS ; IMPACT |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 专题 | 新冠肺炎 循证社会科学证据集成 |
| 作者单位 | 1.North Carolina State Univ; 2.Appalachian State Univ |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Runkle, Jennifer D.,Leeper, Ronald D.,Rao, Yuhan,et al. Short-term effects of specific humidity and temperature on COVID-19 morbidity in select US cities[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2020. |
| APA | Runkle, Jennifer D.,Leeper, Ronald D.,Rao, Yuhan,Matthews, Jessica L.,Rennie, Jared J.,&Sugg, Margaret M..(2020).Short-term effects of specific humidity and temperature on COVID-19 morbidity in select US cities.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT. |
| MLA | Runkle, Jennifer D.,et al."Short-term effects of specific humidity and temperature on COVID-19 morbidity in select US cities".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2020). |
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| Short-term effects o（1680KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 下载 | |
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