Meteorological impact on the COVID-19 pandemic: A study across eight severely affected regions in South America
Zhu, Liting1,2; Liu, Xiaobo1; Huang, Haining1; Avellan-Llaguno, Ricardo David1,2; Huang, Qiansheng1; Zhu, Yong-Guan1; Lazo, Mauricio Manuel Llaguno3; Gaggero, Aldo4; Soto-Rifo, Ricardo4; Patino, Leandro5; Valencia-Avellan, Magaly5; Diringer, Benoit6
2020-07
发表期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
摘要The role of meteorological factors in the transmission of the COVID-19 still needs to be determined. In this study, the daily new cases of the eight severely affected regions in four countries of South America and their corresponding meteorological data (average temperature, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, average wind speed, visibility, absolute humidity) were collected. Daily number of confirmed and incubative cases, as well as time-dependent reproductive number (R-t) was calculated to indicate the transmission of the diseases in the population. Spearman's correlation coefficients were assessed to show the correlation between meteorological factors and daily confirmed cases, daily incubative cases, as well as Rt. In particular, the results showed that there was a highly significant correlation between daily incubative cases and absolute humidity throughout the selected regions. Multiple linear regression model further confirmed the negative correlation between absolute humidity and incubative cases. The absolute humidity is predicted to show a decreasing trend in the coming months from the meteorological data of recent three years. Our results suggest the necessity of continuous controlling policy in these areas and some other complementary strategies to mitigate the contagious rate of the COVID-19. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
关键词COVID-19 Meteorological factors Absolute humidity South Ametica
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140881
WOS关键词ACUTE RESPIRATORY SYNDROME ; INFLUENZA-A H1N1 ; TRANSMISSION ; VIRUS ; SARS
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
出版者ELSEVIER
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
专题新冠肺炎
循证社会科学证据集成
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci;
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci;
3.Univ Franca;
4.Univ Chile;
5.Natl Inst Publ Hlth Res;
6.IncaBiotec SAC
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhu, Liting,Liu, Xiaobo,Huang, Haining,et al. Meteorological impact on the COVID-19 pandemic: A study across eight severely affected regions in South America[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2020.
APA Zhu, Liting.,Liu, Xiaobo.,Huang, Haining.,Avellan-Llaguno, Ricardo David.,Huang, Qiansheng.,...&Diringer, Benoit.(2020).Meteorological impact on the COVID-19 pandemic: A study across eight severely affected regions in South America.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT.
MLA Zhu, Liting,et al."Meteorological impact on the COVID-19 pandemic: A study across eight severely affected regions in South America".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2020).
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