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| Region-specific air pollutants and meteorological parameters influence COVID-19: A study from mainland China | |
| Lin, Shaowei1; Wei, Donghong1,2; Sun, Yi1; Chen, Kun1; Yang, Le1; Liu, Bang1; Huang, Qing1; Wu, Siying1; Bastos Paoliello, Monica Maria3,4; Li, Huangyuan1 | |
| 2020-07 | |
| 发表期刊 | ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY
 |
| ISSN | 0147-6513 |
| EISSN | 1090-2414 |
| 摘要 | Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was first detected in December 2019 in Wuhan, China, with 11,669,259 positive cases and 539,906 deaths globally as of July 8, 2020. The objective of the present study was to determine whether meteorological parameters and air quality affect the transmission of COVID-19, analogous to SARS. We captured data from 29 provinces, including numbers of COVID-19 cases, meteorological parameters, air quality and population flow data, between Jan 21, 2020 and Apr 3, 2020. To evaluate the transmissibility of COVID-19, the basic reproductive ratio (R-0) was calculated with the maximum likelihood "removal" method, which is based on chain-binomial model, and the association between COVID-19 and air pollutants or meteorological parameters was estimated by correlation analyses. The mean estimated value of R-0 was 1.79 + 0.31 in 29 provinces, ranging from 1.08 to 2.45. The correlation between Ro and the mean relative humidity was positive, with coefficient of 0.370. In provinces with high flow, indicators such as carbon monoxide (CO) and 24-h average concentration of carbon monoxide (CO_24 h) were positively correlated with Ro, while nitrogen dioxide (NO2), 24-h average concentration of nitrogen dioxide (NO2_24 h) and daily maximum temperature were inversely correlated to Ro, with coefficients of 0.644, 0.661, -0.636, -0.657, -0.645, respectively. In provinces with medium flow, only the weather factors were correlated with R-0, including mean/maximum/minimum air pressure and mean wind speed, with coefficients of -0.697, -0.697, -0.697 and -0.841, respectively. There was no correlation with R-0 and meteorological parameters or air pollutants in provinces with low flow. Our findings suggest that higher ambient CO concentration is a risk factor for increased transmissibility of the novel coronavirus, while higher temperature and air pressure, and efficient ventilation reduce its transmissibility. The effect of meteorological parameters and air pollutants varies in different regions, and requires that these issues be considered in future modeling disease transmissibility. |
| 关键词 | COVID-19 Basic reproductive ratio Meteorological parameter Air pollutant |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2020.111035 |
| WOS关键词 | AMBIENT CARBON-MONOXIDE ; DAILY MORTALITY ; POLLUTION ; OUTBREAK ; DISEASE ; SARS |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Toxicology |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Toxicology |
| 出版者 | ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 专题 | 新冠肺炎 循证社会科学证据集成 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Fujian Med Univ; 2.Quanzhou Med Coll; 3.Albert Einstein Coll Med; 4.Univ Estadual Londrina |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lin, Shaowei,Wei, Donghong,Sun, Yi,et al. Region-specific air pollutants and meteorological parameters influence COVID-19: A study from mainland China[J]. ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY,2020. |
| APA | Lin, Shaowei.,Wei, Donghong.,Sun, Yi.,Chen, Kun.,Yang, Le.,...&Li, Huangyuan.(2020).Region-specific air pollutants and meteorological parameters influence COVID-19: A study from mainland China.ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY. |
| MLA | Lin, Shaowei,et al."Region-specific air pollutants and meteorological parameters influence COVID-19: A study from mainland China".ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY (2020). |
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