Multivariate Analysis of Black Race and Environmental Temperature on COVID-19 in the US
Li, Adam Y.1; Hannah, Theodore C.1; Durbin, John R.1; Dreher, Nickolas1; McAuley, Fiona M.1; Marayati, Naoum Fares1; Spiera, Zachary1; Ali, Muhammad1; Choudhri, Tanvir F.1; Gometz, Alex2; Kostman, J. T.3
2020-06
发表期刊AMERICAN JOURNAL OF THE MEDICAL SCIENCES
ISSN0002-9629
EISSN1538-2990
摘要Background: There has been much interest in environmental temperature and race as modulators of Coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) infection and mortality. However, in the United States race and temperature correlate with various other social determinants of health, comorbidities, and environmental influences that could be responsible for noted effects. This study investigates the independent effects of race and environmental temperature on COVID-19 incidence and mortality in United States counties. Methods: Data on COVID-19 and risk factors in all United States counties was collected. 661 counties with at least 50 COVID-19 cases and 217 with at least 10 deaths were included in analyses. Upper and lower quartiles for cases/100,000 people and halves for deaths/100,000 people were compared with t-tests. Adjusted linear and logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the independent effects of race and environmental temperature. Results: Multivariate regression analyses demonstrated Black race is a risk factor for increased COVID-19 cases (OR=1.22, 95% CI: 1.09-1.40, P=0.001) and deaths independent of comorbidities, poverty, access to health care, and other risk factors. Higher environmental temperature independently reduced caseload (OR=0.81, 95% CI: 0.71-0.91, P=0.0009), but not deaths. Conclusions: Higher environmental temperatures correlated with reduced COVID-19 cases, but this benefit does not yet appear in mortality models. Black race was an independent risk factor for increased COVID-19 cases and deaths. Thus, many proposed mechanisms through which Black race might increase risk for COVID-19, such as socioeconomic and healthcare-related predispositions, are inadequate in explaining the full magnitude of this health disparity.
关键词COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus Black Race Environmental temperature
WOS关键词VITAMIN-D DEFICIENCY
WOS研究方向General & Internal Medicine
WOS类目Medicine, General & Internal
出版者ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
文献类型期刊论文
专题新冠肺炎
循证社会科学证据集成
作者单位1.Icahn Sch Med Mt Sinai;
2.EastSide Rehab PC;
3.Protected By AI
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GB/T 7714
Li, Adam Y.,Hannah, Theodore C.,Durbin, John R.,et al. Multivariate Analysis of Black Race and Environmental Temperature on COVID-19 in the US[J]. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF THE MEDICAL SCIENCES,2020.
APA Li, Adam Y..,Hannah, Theodore C..,Durbin, John R..,Dreher, Nickolas.,McAuley, Fiona M..,...&Kostman, J. T..(2020).Multivariate Analysis of Black Race and Environmental Temperature on COVID-19 in the US.AMERICAN JOURNAL OF THE MEDICAL SCIENCES.
MLA Li, Adam Y.,et al."Multivariate Analysis of Black Race and Environmental Temperature on COVID-19 in the US".AMERICAN JOURNAL OF THE MEDICAL SCIENCES (2020).
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