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| COVID-19 transmission in Mainland China is associated with tempera- ture and humidity: A time -series analysis | |
| Qi, Hongchao1,2; Xiao, Shuang1; Shi, Runye1; Su, Qing1; Wang, Wenge1; Wang, Xinyi1; Zhang, Zhijie1; Ward, Michael P.3; Chen, Yue4; Tu, Wei5 | |
| 2020-04 | |
| 发表期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
 |
| ISSN | 0048-9697 |
| EISSN | 1879-1026 |
| 摘要 | COVID-19 has become a pandemic. The influence of meteorological factors on the transmission and spread of COVID-19 is of interest. This study sought to examine the associations of daily average temperature (AT) and relative humidity (ARH) with the daily counts of COVID-19 cases in 30 Chinese provinces (in Hubei from December 1, 2019 to February 11, 2020 and in other provinces from January 20, 2020 to Februarys 11, 2020). A Generalized Additive Model (GAM) was fitted to quantify the province-specific associations between meteorological variables and the daily cases of COVID-19 during the study periods. In the model, the 14-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) of AT and ARH, and their interaction were included with time trend and health-seeking behavior adjusted. Their spatial distributions were visualized. AT and ARH showed significantly negative associations with COVID-19 with a significant interaction between them (0.04, 95% confidence interval: 0.004-0.07) in Hubei. Every 1 degrees C increase in the AT led to a decrease in the daily confirmed cases by 36% to 57% when ARH was in the range from 67% to 85.5%. Every 1% increase in ARH led to a decrease in the daily confirmed cases by 11% to 22% when AT was in the range from 5.04 degrees C to 8.2 degrees C. However, these associations were not consistent throughout Mainland China. |
| 关键词 | Meteorological factors COVID-19 Time-series analysis China |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138778 |
| WOS关键词 | METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS ; AIR-TEMPERATURE ; CORONAVIRUS ; SURVIVAL ; OUTBREAK |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 专题 | 新冠肺炎 循证社会科学证据集成 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Fudan Univ; 2.Erasmus MC; 3.Univ Sydney; 4.Univ Ottawa; 5.Georgia Southern Univ |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Qi, Hongchao,Xiao, Shuang,Shi, Runye,et al. COVID-19 transmission in Mainland China is associated with tempera- ture and humidity: A time -series analysis[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2020. |
| APA | Qi, Hongchao.,Xiao, Shuang.,Shi, Runye.,Su, Qing.,Wang, Wenge.,...&Tu, Wei.(2020).COVID-19 transmission in Mainland China is associated with tempera- ture and humidity: A time -series analysis.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT. |
| MLA | Qi, Hongchao,et al."COVID-19 transmission in Mainland China is associated with tempera- ture and humidity: A time -series analysis".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2020). |
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