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Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China | |
Ma, Yueling1; Liu, Jiangtao1; He, Xiaotao1; Wang, Bo1; Fu, Shihua1; Niu, Jingping1; Luo, Bin1,4,5; Zhao, Yadong2; Yan, Jun1; Zhou, Ji3,4 | |
2020-03 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT |
ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
摘要 | Meteorological parameters are the important factors influencing the infectious diseases such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and influenza. This study aims to explore the association between Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths and weather parameters. In this study, we collected the daily death numbers of COVID-19, meteorological parameters and air pollutant data from 20 January 2020 to 29 February 2020 in Wuhan, China. Generalized additive model was applied to explore the effect of temperature, humidity and diurnal temperature range on the daily death counts of COVID-19. There were 2299 COVID-19 death counts in Wuhan during the study period. A positive association with COVID-19 daily death counts was observed for diurnal temperature range (r = 0.44), but negative association for relative humidity (r = -0.32). In addition, one unit increase in diurnal temperature range was only associated with a 2.92% (95% CI: 0.61%, 5.28%) increase in COVID-19 deaths in lag 3. However, both 1 unit increase of temperature and absolute humidity were related to the decreased COVID-19 death in lag 3 and lag 5, with the greatest decrease both in lag 3 [-7.50% (95% CI: -10.99%,-3.88%) and -11.41% (95% CI: -19.68%,-2.29%)]. In summary, this study suggests the temperature variation and humidity may also be important factors affecting the COVID-19 mortality. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
关键词 | COVID-19 Diurnal temperature range Temperature Humidity Generalized additive model |
DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138226 |
WOS关键词 | DAILY MORTALITY ; RESPIRATORY-DISEASES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; AIR-POLLUTION ; INFLUENZA ; RANGE ; COLD ; TRANSMISSION ; ASSOCIATION ; SHANGHAI |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
出版者 | ELSEVIER |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
专题 | 新冠肺炎 循证社会科学证据集成 |
作者单位 | 1.Lanzhou Univ; 2.Gansu Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent; 3.Fudan Univ; 4.Shanghai Meteorol Bur; 5.China Meteorol Adm |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ma, Yueling,Liu, Jiangtao,He, Xiaotao,et al. Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2020. |
APA | Ma, Yueling.,Liu, Jiangtao.,He, Xiaotao.,Wang, Bo.,Fu, Shihua.,...&Zhou, Ji.(2020).Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT. |
MLA | Ma, Yueling,et al."Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2020). |
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