Knowledge Synthesize System Base on Research Document
| Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries | |
| Kontis, Vasilis1; Bennett, James E.1; Rashid, Theo1; Pearson-Stuttard, Jonathan1; Asaria, Perviz1; Zhou, Bin1; Di Cesare, Mariachiara1,7; Ezzati, Majid1,8; Parks, Robbie M.2; Guillot, Michel3,4; Battaglini, Marco5; Corsetti, Gianni5; McKee, Martin6 | |
| 2020-10 | |
| 发表期刊 | NATURE MEDICINE
 |
| ISSN | 1078-8956 |
| EISSN | 1546-170X |
| 摘要 | The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has changed many social, economic, environmental and healthcare determinants of health. We applied an ensemble of 16 Bayesian models to vital statistics data to estimate the all-cause mortality effect of the pandemic for 21 industrialized countries. From mid-February through May 2020, 206,000 (95% credible interval, 178,100-231,000) more people died in these countries than would have had the pandemic not occurred. The number of excess deaths, excess deaths per 100,000 people and relative increase in deaths were similar between men and women in most countries. England and Wales and Spain experienced the largest effect: similar to 100 excess deaths per 100,000 people, equivalent to a 37% (30-44%) relative increase in England and Wales and 38% (31-45%) in Spain. Bulgaria, New Zealand, Slovakia, Australia, Czechia, Hungary, Poland, Norway, Denmark and Finland experienced mortality changes that ranged from possible small declines to increases of 5% or less in either sex. The heterogeneous mortality effects of the COVID-19 pandemic reflect differences in how well countries have managed the pandemic and the resilience and preparedness of the health and social care system. |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41591-020-1112-0 |
| WOS关键词 | AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE ; DEATHS ; EUROPE ; IMPACT ; WINTER |
| WOS研究方向 | Biochemistry & Molecular Biology ; Cell Biology ; Research & Experimental Medicine |
| WOS类目 | Biochemistry & Molecular Biology ; Cell Biology ; Medicine, Research & Experimental |
| 出版者 | NATURE RESEARCH |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 专题 | 新冠肺炎 循证社会科学证据集成 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Imperial Coll London; 2.Columbia Univ; 3.French Inst Demog Studies INED; 4.Univ Penn; 5.Italian Natl Inst Stat Istat; 6.London Sch Hyg & Trop Med; 7.Middlesex Univ London; 8.Univ Ghana |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kontis, Vasilis,Bennett, James E.,Rashid, Theo,et al. Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries[J]. NATURE MEDICINE,2020. |
| APA | Kontis, Vasilis.,Bennett, James E..,Rashid, Theo.,Pearson-Stuttard, Jonathan.,Asaria, Perviz.,...&McKee, Martin.(2020).Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries.NATURE MEDICINE. |
| MLA | Kontis, Vasilis,et al."Magnitude, demographics and dynamics of the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on all-cause mortality in 21 industrialized countries".NATURE MEDICINE (2020). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 下载所有文件 | |||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 文献类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Kontis-Magnitude, de（8989KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 下载 | |
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
修改评论