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| Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves | |
| Li, Ruiyun1,2; Zhang, Tao1; Ren, Zhehao1; Xiao, Yixiong1; Cai, Jun1; Xu, Bo1; Li, Miao1; Chan, Karen Kie Yan1; Tu, Ying1; Yang, Mu1; Xu, Lei1; Bai, Yuqi1; Huang, Wenyu1; Stenseth, Nils Chr1,9; Guan, Dabo1; Gong, Peng1; Xu, Bing1; Chen, Bin3; Song, Yimeng4; Hou, Lin1; Liu, Zhaoyang1; Shen, Chong1; Wang, Che1; Deng, Ke1; Yang, Jing5; Bi, Yuhai5; Liu, Qiyong6; Bao, Shuming7; Zhang, Jianqin8; Zhang, Wusheng1; Whittington, Jason D.9 | |
| 2020-10 | |
| 发表期刊 | PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
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| ISSN | 0027-8424 |
| 摘要 | Emerging evidence suggests a resurgence of COVID-19 in the coming years. It is thus critical to optimize emergency response planning from a broad, integrated perspective. We developed a mathematical model incorporating climate-driven variation in community transmissions and movement-modulated spatial diffusions of COVID-19 into various intervention scenarios. We find that an intensive 8-wk intervention targeting the reduction of local transmissibility and international travel is efficient and effective. Practically, we suggest a tiered implementation of this strategy where interventions are first implemented at locations in what we call the Global Intervention Hub, followed by timely interventions in secondary high-risk locations. We argue that thinking globally, categorizing locations in a hub-and-spoke intervention network, and acting locally, applying interventions at high-risk areas, is a functional strategy to avert the tremendous burden that would otherwise be placed on public health and society. |
| 关键词 | climate human behavior disease transmission hierarchical intervention network international collaboration |
| DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2012002117 |
| WOS关键词 | CORONAVIRUS DISEASE ; WUHAN ; CHINA |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
| 出版者 | NATL ACAD SCIENCES |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 专题 | 新冠肺炎 循证社会科学证据集成 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Tsinghua Univ; 2.Imperial Coll London; 3.Univ Calif Davis; 4.Univ Hong Kong; 5.Chinese Acad Sci; 6.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent; 7.China Data Inst; 8.Beijing Univ Civil Engn & Architecture; 9.Univ Oslo |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Ruiyun,Zhang, Tao,Ren, Zhehao,et al. Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,2020. |
| APA | Li, Ruiyun.,Zhang, Tao.,Ren, Zhehao.,Xiao, Yixiong.,Cai, Jun.,...&Whittington, Jason D..(2020).Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves.PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. |
| MLA | Li, Ruiyun,et al."Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves".PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2020). |
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| Li-2020-Global COVID（1209KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 下载 | |
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