Green Recovery Policies for the COVID-19 Crisis: Modelling the Impact on the Economy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Lahcen, B.1,2; Brusselaers, J.1; Vrancken, K.1; Dams, Y.1; Eyckmans, J.2; Rousseau, S.2; Paes, C. Da Silva3
2020-07
发表期刊ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS
ISSN0924-6460
EISSN1573-1502
摘要The COVID-19 pandemic induces the worst economic downturn since the Second World War, requiring governments to design large-scale recovery plans to overcome this crisis. This paper quantitatively assesses the potential of government investments in eco-friendly construction projects to boost the economy and simultaneously realise environmental gains through reduced energy consumption and related greenhouse gas emissions. The analysis uses a Computable General Equilibrium model that examines the macroeconomic impact of the COVID-19 crisis in a small open economy (Belgium). Subsequently, the impact of the proposed policy is assessed through comparative analysis for macroeconomic parameters as well as CO(2)equivalent emissions for four scenarios. Our findings demonstrate that the COVID-19 pandemic damages economies considerably, however, the reduction in emissions is less than proportionate. Still, well-designed public policies can reverse this trend, achieving both economic growth and a disproportionally large decrease in emissions. Moreover, the positive effect of such a decoupling policy on GDP is even stronger during the pandemic than compared to the pre-COVID-19 period. This is the result of a targeted, investment-induced green transition towards low energy-intensive economic activities. Finally, this paper describes how the net effect on the government budget is positive through the indirect gains of the economic uptake.
关键词CGE model Climate change COVID-19 Economic recession Greenhouse gas emissions Pandemic Policy analysis Recovery plans Small open economy Sustainable investment
DOI10.1007/s10640-020-00454-9
WOS关键词PANDEMIC INFLUENZA
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Economics ; Environmental Studies
出版者SPRINGER
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
专题新冠肺炎
循证社会科学证据集成
作者单位1.VITO;
2.Katholieke Univ Leuven;
3.Univ Ghent
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Lahcen, B.,Brusselaers, J.,Vrancken, K.,et al. Green Recovery Policies for the COVID-19 Crisis: Modelling the Impact on the Economy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS,2020.
APA Lahcen, B..,Brusselaers, J..,Vrancken, K..,Dams, Y..,Eyckmans, J..,...&Paes, C. Da Silva.(2020).Green Recovery Policies for the COVID-19 Crisis: Modelling the Impact on the Economy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions.ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS.
MLA Lahcen, B.,et al."Green Recovery Policies for the COVID-19 Crisis: Modelling the Impact on the Economy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions".ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS (2020).
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