Climate factors and incidence of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus

doi:10.1016/j.jiph.2019.11.011

	Climate factors and incidence of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus
	Altamimi, Asmaa 1; Ahmed, Anwar E.2
	2020-05
发表期刊	JOURNAL OF INFECTION AND PUBLIC HEALTH
ISSN	1876-0341
EISSN	1876-035X
摘要	Background: Our understanding of climate factors and their links to the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) outbreaks is incomplete. This study aimed to estimate the monthly incidence of MERS-CoV cases and to investigate their correlation to climate factors. Methods: The study used aggregated monthly MERS-CoV cases that reported to the Saudi Center for Disease Prevention and Control from the Riyadh Region between November 1, 2012 and December 31, 2018. Data on the meteorological situation throughout the study period was calculated based on Google reports on the Riyadh Region (24.7136 degrees N, 46.6753 degrees E). The Poisson regression was used to estimate the incidence rate ratio (IRR) and its 95% confidence intervals (CI) for each climate factor. Results: A total of 712 MERS-CoV cases were included in the analysis (mean age 54.2 +/- 9.9 years), and more than half (404) (56.1%) MERS-CoV cases were diagnosed during a five-month period from April to August. The highest peak timing positioned in August 2015, followed by April 2014, June 2017, March 2015, and June 2016. High temperatures (IRR = 1.054, 95% CI: 1.043-1.065) and a high ultraviolet index (IRR = 1.401, 95% CI: 1.331-1.475) were correlated with a higher incidence of MERS-CoV cases. However, low relative humidity (IRR = 0.956, 95% CI: 0.948-0.964) and low wind speed (IRR = 0.945, 95% CI: 0.912-0.979) were correlated with a lower incidence of MERS-CoV cases. Conclusion: The novel coronavirus, MERS-CoV, is influenced by climate conditions with increasing incidence between April and August. High temperature, high ultraviolet index, low wind speed, and low relative humidity are contributors to increased MERS-CoV cases. The climate factors must be evaluated in hospitals and community settings and integrated into guidelines to serve as source of control measures to prevent and eliminate the risk of infection. (C) 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences.
关键词	Weather conditions Meteorological factors MERS-CoV
DOI	10.1016/j.jiph.2019.11.011
WOS关键词	DIAGNOSTIC DELAYS ; SAUDI-ARABIA
WOS研究方向	Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Infectious Diseases
WOS类目	Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Infectious Diseases
出版者	ELSEVIER SCIENCE LONDON
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
专题	新冠肺炎循证社会科学证据集成
作者单位	1.Saudi Ctr Dis Prevent & Control Saudi CDC; 2.Uniformed Serv Univ Hlth Sci
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Altamimi, Asmaa,Ahmed, Anwar E.. Climate factors and incidence of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus[J]. JOURNAL OF INFECTION AND PUBLIC HEALTH,2020.
APA	Altamimi, Asmaa,&Ahmed, Anwar E..(2020).Climate factors and incidence of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus.JOURNAL OF INFECTION AND PUBLIC HEALTH.
MLA	Altamimi, Asmaa,et al."Climate factors and incidence of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus".JOURNAL OF INFECTION AND PUBLIC HEALTH (2020).

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