Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the US Electricity Demand and Supply: An Early View From Data

doi:10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3016912

	Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the US Electricity Demand and Supply: An Early View From Data
	Agdas, Duzgun 1; Barooah, Prabir 2
	2020
发表期刊	IEEE ACCESS
ISSN	2169-3536
摘要	After the onset of the recent COVID-19 pandemic, a number of studies reported on possible changes in electricity consumption trends. The overall theme of these reports was that "electricity use has decreased during the pandemic, but the power grid is still reliable"-mostly due to reduced economic activity. In this paper, we analyze electricity data until the end of May 2020, examining both electricity demand and variables that can indicate stress on the power grid. We limit this study to three states in the U.S. California, Florida and New York. The results indicate that the effect of the pandemic on electricity demand is not a simple reduction, and there are noticeable differences among regions analyzed. The variables that can indicate stress on the grid (e.g., daily peak and trough of the hourly demand, demand ramp rate, demand forecast error, and net electricity interchange) also conveyed mixed messages: some indicate an increase in stress, some indicate a decrease, and some do not indicate any clear difference. A positive message is that some of the changes that were observed around the time stay-at-home orders were issued appeared to revert back by May 2020. A key challenge in ascribing any observed change to the pandemic is correcting for weather as it can be challenging to accurately define it for large geographic regions. We provide a weather-correction method, apply it to a small city-wide area in North Central Florida, and discuss the implications of the estimated changes in demand. The results indicate that a 10% (95% CI [2%, 18%]) increase in electricity demand is likely to have occurred due to COVID-19 for the city analyzed.
关键词	Market research Meteorology Power grids Reliability Stress Electric potential Licenses Electricity COVID-19 power grid operation regression weather correction forecasting
DOI	10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3016912
WOS研究方向	Computer Science ; Engineering ; Telecommunications
WOS类目	Computer Science, Information Systems ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic ; Telecommunications
出版者	IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
专题	新冠肺炎循证社会科学证据集成
作者单位	1.Queensland Univ Technol; 2.Univ Florida
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Agdas, Duzgun,Barooah, Prabir. Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the US Electricity Demand and Supply: An Early View From Data[J]. IEEE ACCESS,2020.
APA	Agdas, Duzgun,&Barooah, Prabir.(2020).Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the US Electricity Demand and Supply: An Early View From Data.IEEE ACCESS.
MLA	Agdas, Duzgun,et al."Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the US Electricity Demand and Supply: An Early View From Data".IEEE ACCESS (2020).

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